Saturday, May 11, 2013

Compilation Board Update: Early May Addition

There's been a barrage of rankings that have come out this week, enough to update the comp board for the moment.  I think I'll update one more time just prior to the draft.

Rnk Name Pos School
1 Mark Appel SP Stanford
2 Jonathan Gray SP Oklahoma
3 Kris Bryant 3B San Diego
4 Clint Frazier OF H.S.
5 Austin Meadows OF H.S.
6 Kohl Stewart SP H.S.
7 Colin Moran 3B UNC
8 Sean Manaea SP Ind St
9 Braden Shipley SP Nevada
10 Trey Ball P/OF H.S.
11 Ryne Stanek SP Arkansas
12 Reese McGuire C H.S.
13 Dominic Smith 1B H.S.
14 JP Crawford SS H.S.
15 Jonathan Denney C H.S.
16 Austin Wilson OF Stanford
17 Hunter Renfroe OF Miss St.
18 DJ Peterson 1B New Mex
19 Hunter Harvey SP H.S.
20 Nick Ciuffo C H.S.
21 Aaron Judge OF Fresno St
22 Ryan Eades SP LSU
23 Chris Anderson SP Jack'ville
24 Marco Gonzales SP Gonzaga
25 Eric Jagielo 3B/OF N Dame
26 Billy McKinney OF H.S.
27 Jonathan Crawford SP Florida
28 Andrew Thurman SP UC Irvine
29 Phillip Ervin OF Samford
30 Tim Anderson SS East C CC
31 Ian Clarkin SP H.S.
32 Rob Kaminsky SP H.S.
33 Aaron Blair SP Marshall
34 Matt Krook SP H.S.
35 Connor Jones SP H.S.
36 Ryan Boldt OF H.S.
37 Phil Bickford SP H.S.
38 Bobby Wahl SP Ole Miss
39 Andrew Mitchell SP TCU
40 Tom Windle SP Minn.
41 Michael Lorenzen OF/RP CS Fuler.
42 Alex Gonzalez SP Oral Rob
43 Trevor Williams SP Arz St.
44 Josh Hart OF H.S.
45 Kevin Ziomek SP Vandy
46 Jason Hursh SP Okl St.
47 Travis DeMerritte 3B H.S.
48 Blake Taylor SP H.S.
49 Hunter Green SP H.S.
50 Alex Balog SP San Fran.
51 Dustin Peterson 3B H.S.
52 Cord Sandberg OF H.S.
53 Chad Pinder SS Va. Tech
54 Oscar Mercado SS H.S.
55 Kyle Serrano SP H.S.
56 Garrett Williams SP H.S.
57 Cavan Biggio 3B/2B H.S.
58 Devin Williams SP H.S.
59 Trey Masek SP Tex Tech
60 JaCoby Jones 2B/OF LSU
61 Andrew Knapp C California
62 Jacob Brentz SP H.S.
63 Ryan McMahon 3B H.S.
64 Dustin Driver SP H.S.
65 Carlos Salazar SP H.S.
66 Andy McGuire SS H.S.
67 Corey Knebel RP Texas
68 Hunter Dozier 3B SF Austin
69 Riley Unroe SS H.S.
70 Chris Okey C H.S.
71 Clinton Hollon SP H.S.
72 Colby Suggs RP Arkansas
73 Kent Emanuel SP UNC
74 Scott Frazier SP Pepper.
75 Teddy Stankiewicz SP JUCO
76 Justin Williams OF H.S.
77 Jordan Paroubeck OF H.S.
78 Matt McPhearson OF H.S.
79 Dillon Overton SP Oklahoma
80 Wil Crowe SP H.S.
81 Michael O'Neill OF Michigan
82 Cody Reed SP JUCO
83 AJ Puk SP H.S.
84 Robert Tyler SP H.S.
85 Terry McClure OF H.S.
86 Stephen Gonsalves SP H.S.
87 Jan Hernandez SS H.S.
88 Chris Rivera SS H.S.
89 Logan Shore SP H.S.
90 Dylan Covey SP San Diego
91 Rowdy Tellez 1B H.S.
92 Jared King OF K State
93 Rob Zastryzny P Missouri
94 Brian Ragira 1B Stanford
95 Andrew Church SP H.S.
96 AJ Vanegas RP Stanford
97 Myles Smith P Lee
98 Michael Wagner RP San Diego
99 Drew Ward 1B H.S.
100 Brian Navarreto C H.S.
101 Jake Johansen SP H.S.
102 Dom Nunez C H.S.
103 Mason Smith OF H.S.
104 Kyle Finnegan SP Texas St
105 Chris Kohler SP H.S.
106 Stephen Tarpley SP JUCO
107 Tyler O'Neill C H.S.
108 DJ Snelten SP Minn.
109 Stephen Wrenn OF H.S.
110 Garrett Hampson 2B H.S.
111 Stuart Turner C Ole Miss
112 Chandler Eden SP H.S.
113 Tyler Skulina P Kent St
114 Adam Plutko SP UCLA
115 Tony Rizzotti RP Tulane
116 Buck Farmer SP Ga Tech
117 Austin Nicely SP H.S.
118 Matt Boyd SP Ore St.
119 Aaron Brown RP Pepper.
120 Jeremy Martinez C H.S.
121 Tucker Neuhaus SS H.S.
122 Tyler Danish SP/3B H.S.
123 Trey Michalczewski 3B H.S.
124 Jonah Wesely SP H.S.
125 Ivan Wilson OF H.S.
126 Brett Morales SP H.S.
127 Casey Shane SP H.S.
128 Matt Oberste 1B Oklahoma
129 Ryon Healy 1B Oregon
130 Austin Kubitza SP Rice
131 Zach Collins 1B/C H.S.
132 Trey Williams 3B JUCO
133 Konner Wade SP Arizona
134 Cody Bellinger 1B H.S.
135 Dace Kime P Louisville
136 Jimmie Sherfy P Oregon
137 Keegan Thompson SP H.S.
138 Victor Caratini 3B JUCO
139 Jacob May OF Coast Car
140 Cal Quantrill P H.S.
141 Casey Meisner SP H.S.
142 Jake Sweaney C H.S.
143 Chris Oakley SP H.S.
144 Derick Beauprez SP H.S.
145 Corey Ray OF H.S.
146 Daniel Gibson P Florida
147 Zane Evans C Ga Tech
148 Akeem Bostick SP H.S.
149 Kevin Davis SP H.S.
150 William Abreu OF H.S.

The top 10 had some minor shuffling with Kris Bryant moving into third and the Georgia prep OF flip-flopping.  Chris Anderson fell 12 spots due to declining velocity and loss of command while Hunter Renfroe's break out season has him climbing up 24 spots.  Ryan Boldt's injury led to his 18-spot decline and Alex Balog's season has pushed him up 20 spots.  Oscar Mercado slid 23 spots and to 54, which would put him squarely in the second round, though I've heard Texas is showing interest at the back of the first.  There are several new names on the list thanks to some writers expanding their lists to 100 players.  New to the comp board are Jared King, Rob Zastryzny, Andrew Church, Myles Smith, and Dom Nunez among others.

Thursday, May 9, 2013

Draft Countdown: 4 Weeks


Quick Draft notes:

 

We’re 4 weeks from the draft and the buzz is really heating up.  At the top of the draft, Stanford pitcher Mark Appel has claimed the consensus #1 position thanks to a dominant start against Arizona State on national television.  Oklahoma pitcher Jon Gray is the clear #2 player and San Diego 3B Kris Bryant has settled into the #3 position.  After that it gets quite muddled.  My compilation board as of today rounds the top 10 out like this: HS OF Clint Frazier, HS OF Austin Meadows, HS pitcher Kohl Stewart, Indiana State pitcher Sean Manaea, North Carolina 3B Colin Moran, Nevada pitcher Braden Shipley, and HS catcher Reese McGuire.  Some fresh buzz makes me think Meadows and Manaea will be taking a dive and Moran and HS SS JP Crawford will rise up as soon as Baseball America release their rankings tomorrow.  The bloom has really come off the rose for Meadows and Manaea; both considered possible 1-1 selections last fall are now in danger of falling out of the Top 10.  The same can be said for Arkansas pitcher Ryne Stanek, who was also a possible 1-1 player coming into the season but mediocre performances lately have him in the middle of the first.  Until I hear his name called, I’ll be pulling for him to fall to the Yanks at 26.

 A lot of the names around that 26th pick on my board are the following: HS catcher Nick Ciuffo, Fresno State OF Aaron Judge, Jacksonville pitcher Chris Anderson, Mississippi State OF Hunter Renfroe, HS OF Billy McKinney, HS OF Ryan Boldt, Gonzaga pitcher Marco Gonzales, and UC Irvine pitcher Andrew Thurman.  I think Gonzales will be moving down soon and Renfroe will be moving up based on some buzz I’m hearing.  At picks 32 and 33, I have the names Samford OF Philip Ervin, Florida pitcher Jon Crawford, JUCO SS Tim Anderson, Cal State Fullerton OF/reliever Michael Lorenzen, Notre Dame 3B Eric Jagielo, Marshall pitcher Aaron Blair, HS pitcher Rob Kaminsky, and HS pitcher Ian Clarkin.  I’ve been hearing the names of Judge, McKinney, Ervin, Anderson, Lorenzen, Jagielo and Kaminsky connected with the Yanks so far as well as Minnesota pitcher Tom Windle.  I have to say I’m not excited about some of those names *cough* Windle *cough* but in all reality you’ve got to give these guys a chance.  I’ve got Windle at #43 and if the Yanks definitely think he’s their guy, they’ve got to jump on him with when of those picks because there is little chance he’s available when they pick again at #66.  If they take Tom Windle, I’m sure I’ll have myself talked into the pick by the time I wake up the next day.

 Team Needs

Before you can know what you need, you need to know what you have.  The following table is a list of players that have value to the Yankees.  As in: “We’ve got [player x], so we’re good there.”  In my mind, College players, especially those taken early in the draft, are comparable to a player in A or better and high schoolers are rookie level.  Pretty straight forward there.  Let’s look at the table:

 
A - AAA
Rookie
P
Banuelos
Hensley
P
de Paula
O. Rodriguez
P
J. Ramirez
 
P
Campos
 
P
 
 
C
Sanchez
Torrens
1B
Bird
 
2B
Refsnyder
 
SS
 
Baez
3B
 
 
OF
Williams
Palma
OF
Austin
 
Of
Heathcott
 

The yellow shaded cells are team needs.  Based on this, they are: P, 3B, 1B [HS], 2B [HS], SS [C], OF [HS].  I’d definitely like to see New York add pitching because I think that’s weak right now.  You’ll also notice a lot of yellow under that rookie column.  I think you can say that about any given year.  Teams should add young talent IMO.  I’ll take it a step further… if I were the scouting director I’d be going for as many young, high upside kids as I could sign.  How quickly they could make it to the bigs would have NO relevance to me at all.  It would be all about upside…  the higher the better.  That would probably mean picking a lot of high school kids where the % chance of them eventually graduating to the majors is slim but the ones that do should be stars.

Here’s the rationale: New York’s core competency is not player development.  It’s buying proven, big league talent.  Sorry, it’s true.  They’re never going to be Atlanta or Tampa because they don’t have to be.  Would I love for that to happen, for my team to be 90% home-grown talent?  You betcha.  But New York’s going to do what they’ve always done: sign All-Stars to big $ deals and SOMETIMES fill the holes around them with kids from their farm system.  So I say shoot for the moon with every pick you have and the occasional kid that pays off could possibly pay off BIG TIME.  Before the current CBA deal, that could have been easy.  Throw hella cash at kids… “Oh you want $3 million?  Here ya go.  Yeah, you had 1st round talent but just didn’t happen to get picked and once the 2nd round rolled around, teams passed because you were too expense.  But not for us!!”  Unfortunately, NY didn’t do that and now they can’t.  Oh well…

Who knows what Oppenheimer & Co. will do come June 6th.  I’m hoping for the best.  Based on my board, I’d take McKinney at #26, Kaminsky at #32, and Clarkin at #33.  I’ll be watching and tweeting and blogging the whole time.   If you see me despair in the moment, don’t worry, I’m not going to jump off the roof.  The following day I’ll drink the Kool-Aid and jump in line, biting my nails until they sign the kid who I wasn’t excited about originally but came to love.  Until then, follow me on twitter (@thebronxempire) and watch my blog for updates because I’m sure I’ll write about the draft a few more times before the big day.