Friday, May 2, 2014

2014 MLB Draft Compilation Board #3

by: Ben Embry

It's been a while since Spring has sprung and we're starting to head into the home stretch of amateur baseball seasons.  Some HS teams' seasons are already over and the college offseason will be here soon.  The MLB Draft is a little over a month away and draft boards are taking shape...kinda. While it's becoming more clear who the best 50 to 100 to 200 players are, the order in which they'll be picked in the beginning is VERY unclear. The consensus #1 player heading into the year, NC State LHP Carlos Rodon, has been kinda disapointing.  He ceded the top spot to young high school LHP Brady Aiken from the San Diego area not long after my last comp board was published.  Since then, he's had 2 pretty good outings and suddenly it's a race between him, Aiken, and Texas RHP Tyler Kolek.  East Carolina RHP Jeff Hoffman had been in the mix but some arm troubles has taken him out of that mix (for now).
 
This compilaton board is something I like to do to stay up on who the big names are in the draft pool. What I do is take rankings from 6 different sources that I trust the most on the subject of draft prospects and I compile them into one board.  And honestly, it is very difficult to find a lot of information on the MLB Draft on the internet, at least compared to the more popular NFL and NBA Drafts.  The MLB Draft is more niche-y, so if anything I'd like to consider what I do a service to those other MLB draftniks out there who are looking for some good information.

My previous board can be found here.  Here's the third board for the 2014 draft:
 
RnkNamePosSchool
1Brady AikenSPH.S.
2Tyler KolekSPH.S.
3Carlos RodonSPNC State
4Jeff HoffmanSPE Carolina
5Alex JacksonCH.S.
6Tyler BeedeSPVandy
7Nick GordonSSH.S.
8Aaron NolaSPLSU
9Grant HolmesSPH.S.
10Bradley ZimmerOFSan Fran
11Brandon FinneganSPTCU
12Trea TurnerSSNC State
13Sean NewcombSPHartford
14Kyle SchwarberC/1BIndiana
15Michael ConfortoOFOregon St
16Michael Chavis3BH.S.
17Touki ToussaintSPH.S.
18Max PentecostCKensaw St
19Jacob GatewoodSSH.S.
20Luis OrtizSPH.S.
21Luke WeaverSPFlorida St
22Sean Reid-FoleySPH.S.
23Michael GettysOF/SPH.S.
24Erick FeddeSPUNLV
25Kyle FreelandSPEvansville
26Braxton Davidson1BH.S.
27Derek FisherOFVirginia
28Monte HarrisonOFH.S.
29Kodi MedeirosSPH.S.
30Scott BlewettSPH.S.
31Marcus WilsonOFH.S.
32Foster GriffinSPH.S.
33Mac MarshallSPH.S.
34Casey Gillaspie1BWichita St
35Mike PapiOF/1BVirginia
36Jacob BukauskasSPH.S.
37Cameron VargaSPH.S.
38Derek HillOFH.S.
39Nick BurdiRPLouisville
40Forrest Wall2BH.S.
41Alex VerdugoSP/OFH.S.
42Spencer AdamsSPH.S.
43Matt ImhofSPCal Poly
44Matt Chapman3BCS Fuller.
45Alex Blandino3BStanford
46Michael KopechSPH.S.
47Ti'quan ForbesSSH.S.
48Dylan CeaseSPH.S.
49Jackson ReetzCH.S.
50A.J. Reed1B/SPKentucky
51Taylor Sparks3BUC Irvine
52Milton RamosSSH.S.
53Chase VallotCH.S.
54Jack FlahertySS/PH.S.
55Chris OliverSPArkansas
56Zech LemondSPRice
57Justus SheffieldSPH.S.
58J.J. SchwarzCH.S.
59Joey GattoSPH.S.
60Andrew SuarezSPMiami (FL)
61Matt RaileyOFH.S.
62Jacob NixSPH.S.
63Jake GodfreySPH.S.
64Jake StinnettSPMaryland
65Jacob LindgrenSPMiss. St.
66Sean Bouchard3BH.S.
67Garrett FulencheckSPH.S.
68Keaton McKinneySPH.S.
69Jordan BrinkSPFresno St
70Sam Travis1BIndiana
71Michael CederothRPSD State
72Brian Anderson2B/OFArkansas
73Greg Deichmann3BH.S.
74Keith WeisenbergSPH.S.
75Chris EllisSPOle Miss
76Brett GravesSPMizzou
77Evan SkougCH.S.
78Bobby Bradley1BH.S.
79Ryder Ryan3BH.S.
80Cody ReedSPH.S.
81Spencer TurnbullSPAlabama
82Josh Morgan3BH.S.
83Turner LarkinsSPH.S.
84Bryce Montes de OcaSPH.S.
85Cobi JohnsonSPH.S.
86J.D. DavisSP/1BCS Fuller.
87Dylan DavisSP/OFOregon St
88Austin DavisSPCS Baker.
89Jeren KendallOFH.S.
90Tate Blackman2BH.S.
91Stone GarrettOFH.S.
92Kel JohnsonOFH.S.
93Luke BonfieldSP/OFH.S.
94Lane ThomasOFH.S.
95Chad SobotkaSPSC Upstate
96Grayson GreinerCSouth Car
97Travis JonesOFH.S.
98Dillon PetersSPTexas
99Jake CosartSPJUCO
100Scott HeinemanOFOregon


The Yankees currently have the 55th pick, with a slot of about $1.02 million.  In theory, they should wind up with 2 guys off this list.  In the 50-60 range, you see a few high school kids, which I don't think would be a bad way to go.  Based on what talent they have in the system, a HS OF would work.  HS pitchers are never a bad way to go.  I'd advocate for some college pitching because our pitching depth has been shrinking, but generally the pickings get slim in that area after the first round, (if not sooner).  They can afford to stay away from advanced catchers and outfielders, and young infielders based on what they did last year and what they're working on in the international free agent class, (although it never hurts to get a good young SS if they're available).
I want to make sure I give credit where credit's due, that being the six writers/publications I use to assemble my board.  Some are subscription based, some are free.  I encourage everyone to check them all out.  They are:

Big League Futures (Kevin Gallo, Matt Grabusky)

Baseball America (various writers)

ESPN (Keith Law)

MLB.com (Jim Callis, Jon Mayo)

Scouting Baseball (Kiley McDaniel)

MLB Draft Insider (Chris Crawford)

My next board will be available at the end of May.  At that point I'll have enough info to do a deep dive on some of the top prospects and some guys that are being predicted for New York.  You can expect a lot of changes and the board will get to 250 at that point; I actually have 123 names now but I don't like odd numbers like that so I cut it off at 100.

Email me or hit me up on twitter with any questions: info@thebronxempire.com or @thebronxempire.  Have a good day!

Monday, March 31, 2014

MiLB Assignments for Top 25 Prospects

by: Ben Embry

With Spring Training wrapping up and the big league club headed to Houston to start the season, the team's minor leaguers are off to their assignments either in Scranton, Trenton, Charleston or Tampa, (some of whom will play for the A+ affiliate and others staying in extended Spring Training).  You can't really find official announcements on these assignments but Twitter is an excellent source. There are several people in the know such as Dan Pfeiffer, (@danpfeiffer74), a Trenton Thunder beat writer for Examiner.com.  Plus a lot of the players tweet where they're going on their feeds.

Here is the assignments for our pre-season Top 25 list:


For those in Extended Spring, I expect Austin and Heathcott to go to AA when ready, Bird and Campos to go to A+, Encinas to go to A-, and Clarkin and Hensley to go to Short Season in Staten Island.

It looks to me that they're being pretty aggressive with some of the younger players, notably Katoh, Torrens, and Andujar.  I love to see it, as it's a strong endorsement from the organization for those players.  It also gives me confidence that we could see a wave of prospects ready to hit the big league roster in 2016-2017.  In my opinion, the Yankees farm system has been backsliding for 2 seasons but I'm very confident that they'll be back on an upswing this year.  They drafted really well last year and there are a handful of guys in the upper-end of the minors that are good bounce back candidates.

Before I conclude, I want to give a quick shout out to fellow Yankee blogger: Draft 2 Dynasty.  He helped me out with some of the harder guys to find info on for this list.  For those on twitter, he's a must follow for Yankee fans and baseball card collectors, (@draft2dynasty).  I love his blog, which you can find at draft2dynasty.blogspot.com.

Monday, March 24, 2014

A Couple of Draft Observations

by: Ben Embry

It's been 26 days since I published my second comp board for this years MLB Draft and we're now 73 days from the big day.  Even though we're not very far removed from my last comments and still 2.5 months from the draft, there have been some changes that I feel compelled to address.

The first is a change at the top.  For two years, Carlos Rodon has been the consensus top player for the 2014 draft.  He would have been the best player in last year's draft pool.  Prior to the start of this season, it was arguable he was 1 of the 10 best players not in the major leagues.  But the bandwagon has been thinning out with a couple notable names taking a step back.  Keith Law and Chris Crawford, both who write for ESPN.com, have anointed California prep lefty Brady Aiken the best prospect.  Both had Rodon the best player prior to this season, and to different degrees are contending Rodon is not the same prospect they thought he was 6 weeks ago.  They're citing command mainly, and Law says his slider, which has been an 80 on the 20-80 scale, is now a 60 or a 70 and his fastball is looking average.  Law is a little more fervent in his opinion while Crawford seemed to say he thinks Rodon will bounce back before draft day.

The more interesting situation is what the rest of the industry will have to say soon. Reading sites like Baseball America lately, it seems they believe Rodon has maintained his grip on the top spot.  They've referred to him more as "unlucky" than "less dominant".  I think there could be a fracturing of opinion on Rodon by the top sites where as previously he was the unanimously anointed best player.

As for the Yankees angle, it seems my fascination with one prospect will have to be short lived but in its place will be intrigue in an entire class of prospects.  Last post I mentioned Dylan Crase, a prep righty from Georgia, was the player I hoped would land in the Bronx.  This was based on him bring ranked 38th on my previous comp board, which is within a range that is reasonable to believe he could be available when New York makes their first pick at #47.  But upon further review, it looks less likely that Cease and the Yankees are a good match.  The main reason is that most people believe he's actually a top 15 talent and some are ranking him as such while others are hesitating because he hasn't been pitching because of a sore elbow.  This mix of opinions caused him to be drug down in the rankings from where he justifiably should be.  And it's still entirely possible that he will not have been selected when NY's first pick rolls around.  But the fact that he is so well regarded coupled with his availability will be due to some health questions, plus the issue of his commitment to Vanderbilt, (historically very tough to sign), all make it hard to see anyone being able to sign him in the second round.  He would most likely honor his commitment to Vanderbilt and re-enter the draft in 3 years.

So instead of wanting New York to sign Cease, or any one specific person for that matter, I'm going to just hope they sign one of the multitude of good young HS arms that will most likely be available.  This class is LOADED with quality prep pitchers and any ranking or mock draft you read will tell you at least a few of them will be available when NY picks.  It won't be Aiken, or Tyler Kolek, or Grant Holmes.  They'll all be gone.  Luis Ortiz probably will be, too.  And as for Cease or fellow Vandy commit Touki Toussaint, I don't believe they'll be signable.  But that still leaves guys like Sean Reid-Foley, Cameron Varga, Keaton McKinney, Kodi Meideros, Jacob Nix, Michael Kopech, Mac Marshall, Scott Blewett, Alex Verdugo, and on and on and on.  It's crazy!  In one sense, the Yankees are lucky in that in a year they do not have a pick before the second round, they can still have a shot at one of these talented kids.  I'd still rather have a pick in the first AND second, but we should be able to live with what we end up with.

Again, I will do another comp board at the end of April and one last one at the end of May.  I just wanted to give you these couple updates since I blogged last.