Tuesday, March 10, 2015

2015 Preseason Yankees Farm System Top 30 Rankings

by: Ben Embry

Ladies and gentlemen, it's prospect season!  And every high profile baseball publication/website is in the process of issuing their Top 100 overall and top 10 system rankings.  I like to publish my own and have been doing so for the past few seasons.  Before I reveal my top 30 prospects in the Yankees system let me make this disclaimer: I'm not a scout, nor am I pretending to be one.  These rankings do not reflect my personal opinion but rather the collective opinions of publications like Baseball America and Fangraphs as well as other blogs dedicated to the Yankees such as River Ave Blues and Bronx Baseball Daily.  My only involvement is doing a weighted average of the source material, the links/citations to which can be found below.  Without further delay, here's the top 30 prospects in the Yankees farm system:


Rank Name POS Born
1 Luis Severino SP 1994
2 Aaron Judge RF 1992
3 Greg Bird 1B 1992
4 Jorge Mateo SS 1995
5 Gary Sanchez C 1992
6 Ian Clarkin SP 1995
7 Rob Refsnyder 2B/LF 1991
8 Jacob Lindgren RP 1993
9 Luis Torrens C 1996
10 Eric Jagielo 3B/1B 1992
11 Domingo German SP 1992
12 Miguel Andujar 3B 1995
13 Tyler Austin RF/1B 1991
14 Bryan Mitchell SP 1991
15 Tyler Wade SS 1994
16 Austin DeCarr SP 1995
17 Jake Cave CF 1992
18 Ty Hensley SP 1993
19 Abiatal Avelino SS 1995
20 Jose Ramirez RP 1990
21 Mason Williams CF 1991
22 Ramon Flores CF/RF 1992
23 Leonardo Molina CF 1997
24 Jose Pirela 2B 1989
25 Brady Lail SP 1993
26 Chasen Shreve RP 1990
27 Gosuke Katoh 2B 1994
28 Angel Aguilar SS 1995
29 Slade Heathcott CF 1990
30 Johnny Barbato RP 1992

Severino was amazingly left off one top 100 list this year, that being Keith Law's. In fact, Severino didn't even make the "next 10" supplemental list. Safe to say Keith is the low man on Luis, who has been ranked as high as 23.  Law has stated Severino is destined to the bullpen due to his delivery and slight frame.  While he's not the only person who has suggested this notion, he's the most convinced of it.  All I can say is I hope the others who disagree with him are right.

Judge has the makings of an absolute masher right now who can hit for average and get on base at a fair clip. Plus he has good athleticism for RF and should be a plus defender there, (he played CF in college at Fresno State).  I think he's more likely to make his potential than Severino.

Gary Sanchez took a bit of a tumble as he again failed to have a true break out season that scouts and fans want to see. He's always had critics for his defense and now makeup questions are starting to surface.

As much as he's fallen, it's nothing compared to Mason Williams, Gosuke Katoh, and Slade Heathcott.  It was actually debatable this offseason whether Williams should've been protected from the Rule V draft, (he was). I suspect unless he turns it around he won't be on the 40-man roster when it comes time to decide who to protect.  Katoh has taken the Dante Bichette Jr. path: put up impressive numbers the summer you're drafted, be ranked high in organizational rankings, then fall on your face in low A. Katoh could take some solace in the fact that DBJ has climbed back up the system rankings from almost being purged to landing just outside the top 30.  Heathcott was actually released this winter to make room for others on the 40 man roster. Don't ask me why but I actually have more faith in Heathcott making it to New York than I do Williams. I think it has to do with the canyon like gap in their personalities.

My personal favorites right now are Luis Torrens and Leonardo Molina. I guess I tend to be more interested in the high ceiling but raw July 2 kids that we sign every year.  Torrens is actually making good on the lofty rankings bestowed upon him prior to his signing.  He's shown to actually be a very good defensive catcher despite his relative inexperience there. Unfortunately he experienced a shoulder injury this winter that will prevent him from playing this season.  Molina had a disappointing debut season last year but it was an aggressive assignment for someone who didn't turn 17 until almost the end of the season.  Molina is an absolute tool shed CF and I have a good feeling about his sophomore campaign.

The team has added more depth to the farm system over the offseason with 3 additional prospects, (German ranked 11th, Shreve 26th, and Barbato 30th), and traded one, (Banuelos, previously 13).  Shreve was a part of the package the Yankees received for Banuelos. 

I actually track 65 players with another 20 or so that I kinda keep in the back of my mind as possibilities.  With that in mind, I'll have top 30 hitters and pitchers lists tomorrow. 

I opted to not include last summer's IFA class in the rankings. The two previous years I did this, I waited until mid-season after they had played about a month in rookie league ball.  Unless something changes between then and now, Juan de Leon and Dermis Garcia will likely be ranked in the 20s with the others falling somewhere in behind them.  Including what could be anywhere from 7-10 draftees from June's draft, There should be 20 players (give or take a couple) to add to my tracking list for mid-season.  And because NY's drafting at 16, there's a good chance one or two of those will be in the top 10, (if they go chalk, that is).

Baseball Prospectus (Chris Mellen)

Bowman Scout

Pinstripes Plus (Patrick Teale)

Bronx Baseball Daily (Greg Corcoran)

River Ave Blues

Pinstripe Alley (Staff)

Ok, tomorrow I'll have my top 30 lists for hitters and pitchers. That's always fun for a good organizational deep dive. Until then, have a good day!

2 comments:

  1. Not bad. Jake Cave is a favorite of mine, I think 17 is too low for him, personally. But man, you gotta love the depth in this system right now.

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  2. My preseason rankings are based on an average of rankings by MLB.com, BA, etc. MLB.com had him 20, BA 17. I've bumped him up a little since then.

    Yeah, system is SUPER deep. My spreadsheet keeps growing. Adding all last summer's July 2 kids has made it hella long.

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