Monday, May 19, 2014

2014 MLB Draft Compilation Mock Draft #1

by: Ben Embry

It occurred to me last week that, with some thought, a compilation of all the various mock drafts I like to read could be done in the same fashion as the draft rankings.  You'll see below the first 34 picks of the draft.  Because some of the content is subscriber based, I won't share with you the details but there are links below if you want to possibly subscribe.  All these cites are churning out great draft content.

Here's the basic methodology: I take the most recent mock drafts from, what I believe, are all the big publications and I compile them.  Think of it as all of these guys getting in a room and coming to a consensus.  Here's how I think their mock would look:
PickTeamName
1AstrosCarlos Rodon
2MarlinsTyler Kolek
3White SoxBrady Aiken
4CubsAlex Jackson
5TwinsNick Gordon
6MarinersAaron Nola
7PhilliesBradley Zimmer
8RockiesKyle Freeland
9Blue JaysTrea Turner
10MetsSean Newcomb
11Blue JaysTouki Toussaint
12BrewersMichael Conforto
13PadresMax Pentecost
14GiantsGrant Holmes
15AngelsKyle Schwarber
16DiamondbacksBrandon Finnegan
17RoyalsDerek Fisher
18NationalsJeff Hoffman
19RedsSean Reid-Foley
20RaysTyler Beede
21IndiansCasey Gillaspie
22DodgersDerek Hill
23TigersErick Fedde
24PiratesMonte Harrison
25AthleticsTi'quan Forbes
26Red SoxMarcus Wilson
27CardinalsFoster Griffin
28RoyalsKodi Medeiros
29RedsForrest Wall
30RangersNick Howard
31IndiansA.J. Reed
32BravesSpencer Adams
33Red SoxAlex Verdugo
34CardinalsJacob Gatewood

The most common frequency of player-team matches was Nick Gordon to Minnesota at 5, (5/6 inputs called that), and Sean Reid-Foley to Cincinnati at 19, (4/6).  There were several that had 3 "agreements", if you will, which surprised me because I assumed much of the mocks were more guesses at this point.  Hoffman and Fedde, the two wild cards in the first round of this draft because of their elbow injuries, were predictably the ones with the most disagreement.  Hoffman ranged everywhere from 6 to 21 with only 2 inputs agreeing on where he could land at 18.  Fedde ranged from 15 to 34 with no two inputs agreeing.  Bradley Zimmer is probably the biggest wild card among healthy players; he ranged from 7 to 17.

Unfortunately, there are no Yankees picks to project because they do not have a first rounder.  And there will not be any because I don't believe any of these sites mock into the second round.  It's a bit of a downer for draft niks like me but that's the price you pay for being a Yankee fan I suppose.

I've tweeted previously that I like Nick Burdi, (closer for Louisville), and wouldn't mind seeing him fall to the Yankees. It does appear, if latest mocks are any indication, that there's a chance that could happen. Only 1 of the 6 mocks have him going in the top 27-34 picks, that being to Detroit at 23. In theory, if Detroit takes someone else, (I have them taking UNLV SP Erick Fedde), he could fall at least past 34. That's still not Yankee territory, but he can see it from there.  Other guys who could "fall" are HS 1B Braxton Davidson, Stanford 3B Alex Blandino, HS SS/3B Michael Chavis, HS SP Scott Blewett, HS SP Luis Ortiz, and HS OF Michael Gettys. Not sure how much sense Blandino would make given our minor league depth at 3B but any of the other guys I would be ecstatic about. Like I've tweeted before, someone WILL fall.

I want to make sure I give credit where credit's due, that being the six writers/publications I use to assemble my board.  Some are subscription based, some are free.  I encourage everyone to check them all out.  They are:

Baseball America (various writers)

ESPN (Keith Law)

MLB.com (Jim Callis, Jon Mayo)

Scouting Baseball (Kiley McDaniel)

MLB Draft Insider (Chris Crawford)

Big League Futures (Kevin Gallo, Matt Grabusky)

I'll have a compilation ranking available at the end of May and will do at least one more comp mock.

Email me or hit me up on twitter with any questions: info@thebronxempire.com or @thebronxempire.  Have a good day!

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